Berita FX
Peristiwa yang menggerakkan pasar, kondisi tiap sesi, dan latar makro. Ditulis untuk trader yang menjalankan sistem, bukan menebak arah.
Two Days Ago There Was No 12:30 Window. Today There Are Seven in Four Hours and Forty-Five Minutes.
ECB at 12:15, PPI and claims at 12:30, Lagarde at 12:45, the New York cut at 14:00, EIA crude at 16:00, the 30-year at 17:00. EUR/USD is sitting at 1.1637 between expiry strikes at 1.1600 and 1.1650 — a pin that needs a quiet tape and will not get one. Which two of the seven windows you are actually paid to be in, and why the last two are the ones missing from most event filters.
China's PPI Printed 3.8% on Energy — and the ECB Hikes Into the Same Shock Tomorrow
China's August PPI printed 3.8% year on year against a 3.7% consensus, driven by energy — transport fuel up 8.3% — while core CPI sits at 1.0% and pork is down 11.8%. The euro area's August flash has the identical shape: energy at 14.3%, services falling to 3.0%, core flat at 2.2%. The ECB's own economists call this a supply shock. It raises rates into it at 12:15 UTC tomorrow.
Nothing New Can Be Said About the ECB Until Thursday 12:15 UTC — Which Is Why EUR/USD Is Stuck
EUR/USD is pinned around 1.1625 between option expiries and two-sided stops while the ECB sits in its seven-day quiet period. The decision lands Thursday 12:15 UTC, Lagarde at 12:45, US CPI Friday 12:30. Why today's London open is a liquidity event, not an information one.