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Hari ini · 2 catatan

The Board Lists Ten Fed Speaking Events This Month. All Ten Are Board Members.

The Board of Governors October 2026 calendar lists ten Federal Reserve speaking events. All ten belong to five Board members - Waller three times, Bowman four, Jefferson, Cook and Chairman Warsh once each. Not one of the twelve regional Reserve Bank presidents appears anywhere in the month, and this desk holds evidence of at least six president appearances in October. Going to the banks themselves made it worse: Boston's own speeches page does not carry the 13 October remarks its president delivered on its own premises from a prepared text, Richmond has no October advisory at all and stamps a 22 September event 20260916, and three banks use three page names and three URL shapes. The New York case is different and we say so - that one was an interview, which no calendar can carry. Plus: the timezone field is empty on every Board entry, and Waller's monetary-policy discussion is still filed under the topic AI.

Federal Reserve ECB

Six Officials in Seven Days, One Number Between Them, and It Was Six Days Old

Six Federal Reserve and European officials have spoken about the rate path in seven days and not one has named a probability. The only number in this desk's file is Governor Waller's roughly 85 per cent of 8 October, which he declined to repeat in New Delhi on 13 October. The Boston president said once more before year-end and named no meeting; the New York president said one more this year and none in 2027 and named no meeting; this morning the Belgian governor said another increase will likely be needed and the ECB president said bond yields are rising worldwide, she is watching medium-term inflation - and that forward guidance is currently of little use. That last line explains the pattern rather than decorating it. Meanwhile the feeds carry October at 16, 19, 19.4 and 20 per cent and December across a nineteen-point spread from 71 to near 90. Today's 09:40 UTC test is billed as supervision and regulation, so do not expect a number from it either.

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