外汇资讯

能撼动行情的事件、各时段的盘面状况与宏观脉络。写给用系统交易、而不是靠预测的人。

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2026年9月30日星期三 · 1 篇

The Month-on-Month Is Agreed. The Year-on-Year Has Two Values 5.6 Points Apart.

Japan's August industrial production is agreed at −1.7% month-on-month by four publishers.

Two of them give the year-on-year as +3.4% and two give it as −2.2% — 5.6 points apart, opposite signs, same release. The consensus has three values. Australia's 4.0% CPI is a miss against the figure we published and a bullseye at FXStreet, and the Aussie sold off anyway. And the retail sales prior was revised, one day after we wrote the rule.

2026年9月29日星期二 · 1 篇

EURUSD

Three of Six Calendars Have the Print. They Give Three Different Consensus Figures.

We set two tests yesterday on a US release the aggregators missed.

Sixteen hours after the print FXStreet still shows n/a and Investing.com's row is blank — but three of six calendars do carry 9.8, so our generalisation fails and we say so. The worse finding: the three pages that have it give consensus as 7.2, as 1, and as an unopened −1.0. And one calendar is serving July 2025 as its latest release.

交易的是反应,不是标题
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