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能撼动行情的事件、各时段的盘面状况与宏观脉络。写给用系统交易、而不是靠预测的人。

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标签： Tankan 清除筛选

2026年10月1日星期四 · 1 篇

JPY

The Summary Answered Our Question and Ignored the Market's. October Fell Below Twenty Per Cent.

The Bank of Japan's September Summary of Opinions is full of hawkish views and the yen fell half a per cent on it, because it said nothing about October.

What it did say is that the neutral rate should be reassessed after every hike rather than assumed fixed — which discharges the terminal-rate question we opened on 28 September. October odds are below twenty per cent on two post-event readers; a third is excluded because it predates the release. And our 4.77-yen Tankan gap was 3.11: the assumed rate moved to 154.23.

2026年9月30日星期三 · 1 篇

USDJPY

The 157.00 Pin Failed in Both Directions. And the Notional Was Obtainable All Along.

A publisher called 157.00 a pinning level with spot fifteen pips away.

Dollar-yen traded 36 pips below it and closed 38 pips above. We also finally have the notional — 1.4 billion dollars — from Minkabu, which prints the expiry ladder with sizes while the page we habitually read hides them in an image. Tokyo opens 157.34 and the Tankan printed plus 24 against plus 25. Thirteen hours on, the Ministry's English page still has not said zero.

交易市场的反应，而不是新闻标题
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