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Hoy · 1 notas

USD/JPY event risk

Thirteen Events in Six Hours Collapse Into One Seven-Hour Blackout. And the Remark That Moved Tokyo Has No Issuer Document.

A Bank of Japan board member's dovish remark moved dollar-yen this morning — the pair bottomed at 159.48 just after 01:00 UTC and was back at 159.84 within the hour — and the Bank's own 2026 English speech index carries no 12 November entry and no entry under his name. The standing advice to prefer the issuer to an aggregator is advice about documents; a remark made in a room has none at the moment it moves the market, so a news filter keyed to issuer publication is structurally blind to spoken guidance, and the blindness never shows up in a backtest. We also withdraw a fault we escalated: the 21 rows we counted on our own front page for three slots were our fetch tool returning 70 per cent of the page. Read in full this morning it is 58,385 characters, all seven day-section counters match their rows exactly, and the 18-hour byte-identical envelope has cleared. The 30-row ceiling survives — 287 articles in the content system, 30 on the public list. Four sources returned the wrong object at HTTP 200 in one research pass: a promoted auction feed nine days stale, a headline 90 pips from its own body, a British page stamped in a US Pacific offset, and a central bank listing its own bulletin with no time while an aggregator supplies one. And the afternoon is the real story: thirteen scheduled items between 13:30 and 19:30 UTC, 2.17 an hour, which under a thirty-minute-either-side rule merge into a single block from 13:00 to 20:00 — 420 minutes, 29 per cent of the day. Thirteen windows that select nothing. Plus a pivot ladder whose unlabelled window we recovered by reproducing all seven levels from its own printed inputs, and a moving-average drift table showing why an undated 5-day quote costs 29 pips a day of ambiguity where the 200-day costs two.

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