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能撼动行情的事件、各时段的盘面状况与宏观脉络。写给用系统交易、而不是靠预测的人。

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2026年10月13日星期二 · 1 篇

USDJPY

The 158.61 Break Lasted One Closed Session. Tokyo Handed Back 42 Pips.

The 158.51 level went on Monday in London with Tokyo, the US Treasury cash market and Canada all shut.

Tokyo reopened and handed it back: a 46-pip session, 158.65 to 158.19, which is 42 pips below Monday's close, 56 below its New York high and 34 below the only labelled simple 200-day reading in our file. But the give-back is convention-dependent too — against our own exponential reading just under 158.00 the pair is still 19 pips above its 200-day and nothing happened. And the yield print this test needed does not exist: the issuer's series stops at 8 October at 5.22 per cent, Monday's 5.24 was quoted on a shut market two basis points above it, and one vendor reports a four-basis-point move as three.

2026年9月16日星期三 · 1 篇

EURJPY USDJPY

Tokyo Hands London 46 Pips and a CPI Beat That Was All Diesel

Six hours of Tokyo produced forty-six pips in USD/JPY and thirteen in EUR/USD.

UK CPI beat to 3.1% and every basis point of it was motor fuel — core held at 2.6%, so the print tells you not to trade it. The only order book we can read is EUR/JPY: stops at 179.50, sells and stops together at 180.00, and nothing real bid until 177.70. No expiry ladder for today at 06:26, the fifth time we have counted. With the Fed under twelve hours out, London is a sizing question, not a direction one.

2026年9月15日星期二 · 1 篇

USDJPY

155.00 Held on the Third Attempt. At 23:50 Tokyo Finally Gets a Japanese Number.

USD/JPY has taken 155.00 three times in thirty-six hours.

The first two were handed straight back inside the session; the third stuck — New York closed 155.10, seventy-five sen up, on a 154.21–155.24 range, with the ten-year at a nineteen-year 5.0390% and the Dow down 399. Three sessions running, every link in the yen's chain has been American. At 23:50 UTC Japan finally supplies its own numbers — trade balance, exports, imports and core machinery orders in one minute — and on the evidence of the last three sessions Tokyo will not trade a single one of them. We are putting that in writing so it can be marked.

2026年9月1日星期二 · 1 篇

交易的是反应，不是标题
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