Notícias FX
Eventos que mexem com o mercado, condições de cada sessão e cenário macro. Escrito para quem opera com sistema, não com palpite.
Canada Printed 3.0% and −0.1%. One Vendor Had the Year, the Other Had the Month.
Yesterday this desk published a 40-basis-point consensus gap on Canadian CPI and argued that one vendor's 2.0% was the Bank of Canada median core sitting in the headline field. The print settles it twice over: the headline held at 3.0% year on year, the month fell 0.1%, and CPI-median came in at exactly 2.0%. FXStreet had the year and missed the month by 40bp. InvestingLive had the month exactly and missed the year by a point. And the adjusted-versus-unadjusted hypothesis we published does not survive.
The Only 12:30 Print Today Is Canadian, and Two Vendors Are 40 Basis Points Apart on It
The pre-US window fires at 12:30 UTC today with no American number in it. One vendor has the Canadian consensus at +0.3% m/m and 3.0% y/y; another at −0.1% and 2.0%. Statistics Canada's own July release says 3.0% — and 2.0% is the Bank of Canada median core, sitting in the wrong field. Second labelling failure from the same publisher in four sessions. Meanwhile London ran USD/JPY to 154.74 with nothing scheduled at all.