FX ニュース
相場を動かすイベント、時間帯ごとの地合い、マクロの流れ。相場を当てにいくのではなく、システムで回す人に向けて書いています。
Your Week-Ahead Table Has the Wrong Man Chairing Wednesday. Ours Had the Hours Wrong Too.
Two vendor calendars put Jerome Powell at Wednesday's FOMC press conference. The Federal Reserve's own site names Kevin Warsh as Chairman and lists Powell separately as a sitting governor — which is exactly why a filter keyed on the name keeps matching. One table still has the Bank of Japan on hold against a survey at 97% for a hike. And our own fifty-one-hour gap between the two decisions is thirty-three. Plus an empty European calendar into the London open.
A Record Far-Right Result in Germany Moved the Euro by Almost Nothing — That Is the Information
The AfD took a record 43.8% in Saxony-Anhalt on Sunday and the euro barely moved. For a system trader the non-reaction is the useful data point — and it says something specific about what a volatility filter should have done.