FX ニュース
相場を動かすイベント、時間帯ごとの地合い、マクロの流れ。相場を当てにいくのではなく、システムで回す人に向けて書いています。
Three Readers Want Empire State Between 14.0 and 15.0. The New York Fed Will Not Tell You Which Minute It Prints.
Empire State prints at 12:30 UTC and three readers give three consensus figures — 14.75, 15.0 and 14.0 — against an August prior of 20.6 that the New York Fed itself calls its highest reading in more than four years. We publish the band and settle the prior at the issuing institution. And the New York Fed does not promise a release minute: its own note says "at or shortly after 8:30 a.m.", so a symmetric news window is the wrong shape. Plus yesterday's UK cut closed: total pay printed +3.9%, exactly on consensus.
The UK Jobs Number Was on the Wire at 06:01. At 06:26 the ONS Still Said It Was Not Published.
The ONS released the UK labour market report at 06:00 UTC and FXStreet had it on the wire ninety-six seconds later: unemployment 4.9% against a 5.0% consensus, unchanged in the three months to July. At 06:26 the ONS's own release page still said "This release is not yet published" and Trading Economics' Actual field was still empty. This desk's rule — go to the issuing agency, not an aggregator — is right about authority and wrong about latency. Plus today's windows, the 17:00 auction clock now second-sourced, and a Fed hike at 92.4%.