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Tag: crude oil Clear

Monday, October 12, 2026 · 1 notes

USDJPY

158.51 Went at 09:54 UTC — in London, Not Tokyo, with Both Cash Markets Shut

The 158.51 high this desk has watched since 7 October went at 09:54 UTC, and it went in London — Tokyo was shut for Sports Day, the US Treasury cash market was shut for Columbus Day, and Canada was shut.

Dollar-yen printed 158.61, twenty-one pips above where the Asian session stopped and ten above the mark, on a day whose stated driver is crude oil that four publishers price across a five-dollar band. With the bond market closed there is no yield print to confirm the break. Also: euro-dollar at a 1.1185 day low, and the French ten-year spread computes to 139.8 basis points against a 140.6 threshold that did not go.

Monday, September 28, 2026 · 1 notes

Verbal Intervention Bought 135 Pips. Tokyo Has Already Given Back 89 of Them.

Dollar-yen fell 135 pips to 156.51 on a finance ministry official's yen-weakness remark, and by the Tokyo open it had taken 89 of them back in the thinnest hours of the day.

The morning note explaining the rebound with rising crude is contradicted by the same session's oil tape, so we publish no oil level. The RBA at 04:30 is the session's only scheduled risk and it is not in your pair.

Monday, September 14, 2026 · 1 notes

USD/JPY Printed 155.00 and Gave Back 101 Pips Before Tokyo Opened — On Oil, Not on Japan

USD/JPY touched 155.00 overnight for the first time since 7 September and was back at 153.99 before the Tokyo open.

The chain that did it: a ship struck in the Strait of Hormuz, Saudi Arabia shutting its 7-million-barrel East-West pipeline, the US 10-year through 5% for the first time since 2023 — then four presidential posts that unwound the lot. Three publishers give three different highs for the same barrel, four dollars apart, and three feeds give the Fed hike at 85%, 90% and 93%. Tokyo opens at 154.36 with the spec book flat.

Tuesday, September 8, 2026 · 1 notes

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